Those that used to buy in the market place when they retired here no longer do. They buy into the villages.
So in Tauranga that means that the house market has changed and the number coming to buy in the market place has gone down, i.e. the house market has lost a % of its buyers.
The turnover rate of units is a closely held figure. Despite going into the villages and knowing many of the people running somwe of them no one will comment on the turnover rate. You can guess a bit when you look at say Ryman where one has to be 70 to go in there. Others start at 55 and they have a lot more long term residents. Some I know are 16 years.
Its been hinted to me that Rymans will be around 10% within a year two so all those units are returned to the market. When you build them 500 at a time, which is what's happening, then you are creating a lot of residences. Residences that are not accounted for in any way by Real Estate stats once the consent has been issued.
So if you want a projection for Auckland where Ryman, Summerset and Metlife are building these villages as fast as they can buy the land then Auckland won't need all the houses that Smith and Brown are using tax and rate payers money to build.
Same in other places like Tauranga, Hamilton Wellington etc and until the population moves and adjusts than there will be a depressing effect on markets. (supply and demand). That will be offset probably for while with immigrants coming to NZ from area's of the world that have become more unsafe and where jobs are going such as in Aussie.
Will there be opportunities, of course.
So in Tauranga that means that the house market has changed and the number coming to buy in the market place has gone down, i.e. the house market has lost a % of its buyers.
The turnover rate of units is a closely held figure. Despite going into the villages and knowing many of the people running somwe of them no one will comment on the turnover rate. You can guess a bit when you look at say Ryman where one has to be 70 to go in there. Others start at 55 and they have a lot more long term residents. Some I know are 16 years.
Its been hinted to me that Rymans will be around 10% within a year two so all those units are returned to the market. When you build them 500 at a time, which is what's happening, then you are creating a lot of residences. Residences that are not accounted for in any way by Real Estate stats once the consent has been issued.
So if you want a projection for Auckland where Ryman, Summerset and Metlife are building these villages as fast as they can buy the land then Auckland won't need all the houses that Smith and Brown are using tax and rate payers money to build.
Same in other places like Tauranga, Hamilton Wellington etc and until the population moves and adjusts than there will be a depressing effect on markets. (supply and demand). That will be offset probably for while with immigrants coming to NZ from area's of the world that have become more unsafe and where jobs are going such as in Aussie.
Will there be opportunities, of course.
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