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Vacant space everywhere soon?

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  • fudosan
    Reaching out to Asia
    • Jun 2004
    • 2084

    #1

    Vacant space everywhere soon?

    When our heavily indebtied consumers retreat, are we going to see massive vacant space here in NZ soon?

    Circuit City will finally flicker out when its last 567 stores close this year, but the bankruptcy of America's second-largest electronics retailer will ripple across the US economy for years.

    In its wake will be 18.71 million square feet (1.74 million sq. meters) of vacant space in a faltering real estate market. More than 40,000 workers will be jobless, including 7,000 laid off last year.
    The vacant stores leave a huge hole for shopping centre owners to plug.

    Finding new tenants is increasingly difficult, as chains like Linens 'N Things, Mervyns and Steve & Barry's also go out of business. Other companies such as Starbucks and Ann Taylor are retrenching from an era of swift expansion.

    Making matters more difficult is the size of most Circuit City stores, which range from nearly 17,000 square feet (1,579 sq. meters) in Steubenville, Ohio, to more than 66,000 square feet (6,131 sq. meters) in El Paso, Texas. Very few retail tenants require such large spaces, said Green Street Advisors analyst Nick Vedder.

    "The anchors are really one of the most important pieces of the center," Vedder said. "They bring in the traffic, they are the lifeblood that (other) tenants rely on to bring customers to the stores."

    Analysts say most landlords can expect to see weak to no rent growth this year and higher retail vacancy rates. Those factors could push many owners of shopping malls, office towers, apartment buildings and industrial buildings into foreclosure or bankruptcy.
    Source: http://www.nzherald.co.nz/commercial...ectid=10556014
  • Davo36
    Fanatical
    • Sep 2007
    • 8450

    #2
    In the states they certainly will see big vacancies. The commercial property industry wants a bailout... of course they do. Some developers are screwed, with property still coming on line now and no tenants.

    It won't be that bad in NZ but it will be pretty bad I reckon.

    David
    Squadly dinky do!

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    • fudosan
      Reaching out to Asia
      • Jun 2004
      • 2084

      #3
      Why won't we be that bad?

      Our total current account deficit is more than 90% of our GDP, second only to Iceland which went bankrupt last year. Our current deficit last year reached 8.5%, much larger than the 5.3% of USA.

      I'm just not convinced we'll be doing better than the US.

      Comment

      • Wezz
        Freshie
        • Nov 2005
        • 79

        #4
        When our heavily indebted consumers retreat, are we going to see massive vacant space here in NZ soon?


        YES - Even though the media and other 'experts' are saying that we are relatively sheltered here in NZ, I can't for any reason see why we would be sheltered. We export, we import. If overseas companies stop buying NZ product because they either don't want as much product (because demand on their side is down) or they shut down, (because they can't sell what they have in stock), why wouldn't that effect us here in cosy little NZ???? We are a pimple on the arse (as Paul Henry would put it) on the elephant of the world.

        Of course we're going to see 'massive vacant space in NZ soon'. Those who don't think so, are in for a bit of a shock, unfortunately.
        "Measure Twice - Cut Once"

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        • fudosan
          Reaching out to Asia
          • Jun 2004
          • 2084

          #5
          I can't for any reason see why we would be sheltered
          As I wrote in another thread, the mood of NZ in 1931 was optimistic, according to the book "Fantastic Pasts," but it suddenly changed in 1932. History may be repeating now.

          Comment

          • Perry
            Geriatric
            • Sep 2004
            • 16861

            #6
            I went into town today - a Friday afternoon. Not my
            ideal time-of-week for such excursions. I was amazed
            at how empty the shops were. Still plenty of vehicles
            on the road, on the way home, though. But a lot of
            the stores (mainly big box type) seemed to have more
            staff than customers, mid-afternoon.

            I'd always thought Fridays to be busy. Maybe there's
            been a shift to Saturdays, for coffee, cake and credit
            card excursions?

            Comment

            • fudosan
              Reaching out to Asia
              • Jun 2004
              • 2084

              #7
              We went to Westfield tonight and still found lots of shops with the big SALE signs. One hair saloon is gone, leaving an ugly empty space. Even though it's Friday night there were not many people shopping. The exception was Skycity Cinemas. We went to see Slumdog Millionaire and, boy, there were very few empty seats.

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