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The suburbs to home in on

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  • muppet
    Banned
    • Sep 2003
    • 10593

    #1

    The suburbs to home in on

    The suburbs to home in on
    By EMMA PAGE - Sunday Star Times | Sunday, 09 December 2007

    Property investors face a patchy, slowing market but some homeowners are still making money.

    A property watch website has revealed the suburbs with the fastest capital growth in Auckland and Wellington and highlights the best areas to hold, buy and sell.

    SuburbWatch director Kieran Trass combines data from Quotable Value with his own analysis to give home buyers and investors recommendations for specific Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch suburbs.

    He describes the Auckland and Wellington markets as "patchy" and says Christchurch has slowed dramatically and is "tenuous".

    West is best in Auckland, with Henderson and Glen Eden included in the top five suburbs experiencing the highest growth. Other strong suburbs include Point Chevalier, the Eastern Bays and Mt Roskill. With 13% growth in a year, and value going up month on month, Birkenhead was also looking good. But the top five aren't the only good places to buy, with Mt Eden and south Auckland's Manukau earning a buy or hold recommendation.

    In Wellington, Wainuiomata, Elsdon and Tawa are "buy-holds". The website subscription service showed sales volumes were down by 35% in Rimutaka over the year, but up 20% compared to the same quarter last year, earning it a buy-hold tag.

    In comparison, no Christchurch suburbs were listed in the buy-hold category, with Trass saying the market there had peaked.

    Top-performing Wellington suburbs include Elsdon, Rimutaka, Upper Hutt, Stokes Valley and Whitby.

    The data used to decide these categories is updated monthly. The next analysis is due in three weeks. Trass uses historical trends and recent sales information to forecast future trends.

    Harcourts CEO Bryan Thompson says that although the market across the country is slowing down, it is still in good condition. "The market never changes. The well presented properties where the owners have realistic expectations are selling well."

    Although investors needed information about how properties would perform in the short term, most people wanted to buy a house close to good schools and transport or had good views.

    "You're not buying it to make money, you're buying it for all the things it offers."

    Trass says a general slowing did not mean all suburbs were experiencing a downturn.

    And as house values rise more slowly or drop, the market becomes more buyer friendly as prices become more negotiable and more listings mean better choice.

    http://www.stuff.co.nz/sundaystartim...7347a6442.html
  • whitt
    Fanatical
    • Jun 2005
    • 3922

    #2
    For those interested in the website article discusses.

    Comment

    • emcd
      Freshie
      • Nov 2007
      • 53

      #3
      I went to every openhomes this weekend in Mt Eden. Few openhomes and no deal. One house I didn't buy last year is on the market again and the asking price is $100k higher then last year.

      Comment

      • Davo36
        Fanatical
        • Sep 2007
        • 8450

        #4
        I would say that by the time you've identified a 'growth' suburb, found a place, bought it and settled for it, things may have changed!

        David
        Squadly dinky do!

        Comment

        • kalovatt
          Forum Junkie
          • Jan 2004
          • 272

          #5
          Yes, and that todays marvellous well-below valuation purchase is tomorrows market retail price. Saw this happen constantly at this time last cycle, and finally its starting to happen now, admittedly somewhat later than I thought it would !!

          Comment

          • Commercial Dan
            Fanatical
            • May 2007
            • 1520

            #6
            Maybe I misread it, but Tawa, Whitby and Upper Hutt as continuing top performing suburbs in Wellington over the next year?

            NONSENSE, these (from a Wellingtonian's POV) are crap and will be so in the next 1-2 years...stay away from these suburbs.

            Comment

            • emcd
              Freshie
              • Nov 2007
              • 53

              #7
              Don't know Wellington and other part of Auckland, but I agree Mt Eden will be a good performer for next couple of years simply because you can not find cheaper areas with same distance from the city to buy in.

              Comment

              • Commercial Dan
                Fanatical
                • May 2007
                • 1520

                #8
                Yes, but that is commonsense, no need for any tool or clock

                Comment

                • Careynz
                  Freshie
                  • Oct 2005
                  • 70

                  #9
                  I am curious as to why Commercial Dan says to stay away from Whitby. I have a couple of houses there and they are doing very well as part of my portfolio. Care to expand Commercial Dan?

                  Cheers

                  Comment

                  • Commercial Dan
                    Fanatical
                    • May 2007
                    • 1520

                    #10
                    The location is ok, its boom is over though...I'm just saying that it is unlikely that values there will outperform the rest of the region this year. I got carried away by saying those areas are crap, I retract this.

                    They are just not going to outperform other CBD suburbs in Wgtn over the next year or so.

                    Comment

                    • Careynz
                      Freshie
                      • Oct 2005
                      • 70

                      #11
                      Whew! Had me going there Commercial Dan. I agree as I can't see Whitby or Tawa out performing some of the really juicy Wellington suburbs.

                      Whitby is reasonably steady - lots of new buildings and lots of new (mainly English) immigrants who move there. Such a constant flow will help keep it viable in the foreseable future as a good investment.

                      Comment

                      • Commercial Dan
                        Fanatical
                        • May 2007
                        • 1520

                        #12
                        Agree, it is a solid investment...thoguh who knows, everything I have just said could be wrong.

                        Comment

                        • essence
                          Fanatical
                          • May 2004
                          • 3578

                          #13
                          Whitby

                          There are a few properties that are not selling in Whitby, some for 3+ months.

                          REA's are telling me that Whitby has cooled markedly. Although houses are still selling, vendors are having to be much more realistic with their pricing.

                          I'm picking that whitby will be one of the first suburbs to drop in price, both month on month stats and on average.

                          Still some bargains, but one has to "cherry pick".

                          My ten cents worth, is all.
                          Patience is a virtue.

                          Comment

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