Header Ad Module

Collapse

Diana Clement: Greed blurs investors' assessment of risk

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • muppet
    Banned
    • Sep 2003
    • 10593

    #1

    Diana Clement: Greed blurs investors' assessment of risk

    Diana Clement: Greed blurs investors' assessment of risk
    9:00AM Monday February 04, 2008
    By Diana Clement

    Investing is a balance between greed and fear. Too much greed and you open yourself to falling for scams and rip-offs. Too much fear and you'll never put any money into investments that ultimately could be good for your long-term wealth.

    It's the greed side of the equation that I've been thinking about, with the news that some investors who bought properties through Blue Chip haven't been paid guaranteed rents.

    They were persuaded by a well-oiled selling machine that offloaded thousands of newly built apartments and other properties to mostly first-time investors who were convinced that the equity in their homes could make them rich.

    The investors who bought into the Blue Chip concept were often cold called by the company and visited by a salesperson cloaked as an investment adviser who used some pretty standard sales techniques to convince them to buy a property they hadn't even seen.

    You'd think that with all the warnings in the media, investors would wise up to all the salesmen out there fishing for their money. But they don't. Some investors make it all too easy for them.

    A week ago, I was asked what I thought of an investment in a Gold Coast apartment. The deal had all the hallmarks of high-pressure selling associated with it.

    Why, for example, did this company need to be selling in New Zealand? If it was such a great investment, Australians would have snapped it up.

    My comments about Australian property investments being subject to capital gains tax and stamp duty in Australia, and that rental yields being worse over the ditch than they are here, were swept aside by the husband, who countered them with the same arguments the salesman had peddled to him.

    He clearly wanted to believe that buying an Australian property would be his financial salvation and lapped up everything the salesman had said: about prices already having risen on paper so they had to get in now; lots of Australian investors already on board; run by a family company and so on.

    What this man and many other investors don't realise is that:

    * Developers sell property "off the plan", not so investors can get rich off it, but in order to get finance to build the project in the first place.

    * The companies that approach investors with wealth seminars, presentations and the like, and packaged property investments make money from selling that overpriced and overvalued property. They may have bought it "wholesale" from the developer, but you're buying it at full market value or more.

    * Guaranteed rents are often built into the purchase price. So you pay over the odds for the property and the marketing company that sells it uses this extra to pay for the inflated rental prices you're receiving. The only exception, perhaps, is the guaranteed rents offered by Housing New Zealand.

    * When the guarantee ends, rents often drop to a level where the property doesn't pay for itself any more.

    Buyers of investments - and even products such as miracle face creams - says Paul Ballantine, senior lecturer in marketing at the University of Canterbury, are presented with a problem they didn't know they had. In the case of property, the "problem" is not enough money for retirement.


    "Then they offer a way to solve that problem for you," says Ballantine.

    Salespeople will pre-empt any rational questions with answers that on the surface make sense. What's more, says Ballantine, because there is a "guarantee", the potential investor decides they don't need to think about it because it must be safe. Some of those selling off-the-plan property need you to sign up without getting independent advice. Therefore they have a tame accountant and lawyer on hand, who back up the salesman's argument and allay any fears you may have.

    This type of selling isn't just restricted to property and time shares.

    People get suckered into having their life insurance policies changed all the time, so the salespeople can get another bite of commission.

    Unfortunately, some find their health has changed in the meantime and the new policy may not cover them for pre-existing conditions.

    When they make a claim, they're turned down, all so someone can get a few thousand dollars in commission.

    From a behavioural finance perspective, says Mark Brighouse, president of the Chartered Financial Analyst Society of New Zealand, human beings are programmed to take risks. But combine that with a slick sales technique and our risk taking lets us down.

    Some of the mistakes that come into play with investments, Brighouse says, are:

    * Over-confidence.

    * Framing - where the way that an investment is presented makes us think differently about it. It's the same argument as a doughnut being 75 per cent fat-free or 25 per cent fat.

    * The herd instinct, where we do what our neighbours are doing without questioning it.

    * Diana Clement is an Auckland-based personal finance and investment writer.

    Latest breaking news articles, photos, video, blogs, reviews, analysis, opinion and reader comment from New Zealand and around the World - NZ Herald
  • Monid
    Philophaster
    • Feb 2004
    • 3062

    #2
    I actually thought this one was a pretty good well balanced article.

    Originally posted by Brighouse
    * Over-confidence.

    * Framing - where the way that an investment is presented makes us think differently about it. It's the same argument as a doughnut being 75 per cent fat-free or 25 per cent fat.

    * The herd instinct, where we do what our neighbours are doing without questioning it.
    These are particularly good though there are of course many other critical thinking failures that can lead us into problems.

    Cheers
    David
    New to property investing? See: Best PropertyTalk Threads for New and Old Investors And/Or:Propertytalk Wiki

    Comment

    • Strummer
      Freshie
      • Dec 2007
      • 67

      #3
      Good summary

      Comment

      • Monid
        Philophaster
        • Feb 2004
        • 3062

        #4
        Another good article by Diana Clement:

        Originally posted by NZ Herald
        Diana Clement: Watch out for the next disaster

        5:00AM Saturday February 16, 2008


        Kiwi investors can't be blamed for thoughts of impending doom. First of all they lost millions in finance company collapses, then it was the turn of investors who'd bought packaged property investments such as those offered by Blue Chip, which have plummeted instead of making the easy wealth promised.
        Now it's "structured investments", which are so complex that many financial professionals admit privately that they don't fully understand them.
        Where is the next disaster waiting in the wings, or the products that are going to cause people heartache?
        For the past few years I've had numerous conversations with financial planners and other professionals warning about each and every one of these financial catastrophes in advance of them happening.
        So I asked: What's next?
        The answer is that the financial crisis we find ourselves in is likely to have repercussions on virtually every investment we hold.
        However, there are investments that are likely to bring grief to numbers of people who invest in them, and they include:


        * Negative-geared properties. These properties, where the costs are more than the rent and the loss subsidised by generous tax breaks, may not be a bad idea when property values are rising. When they're going sideways or down and the medium-term outlook isn't good, why would you do them?
        Yet type the words "invest in property" in Google and there are companies still selling the dream that property is about to appreciate in value in the near future.
        The very first words in Catalyst2's description of its service are: "New Zealand property is significantly undervalued." Plenty of others come up with reasons to buy new off-the-plan property, none of which even mention that developers need to sell off-the-plan property to mugs to get loans to build the projects.
        It also should be added that many salespeople masquerade as financial or investment "advisers" when they are really only interested in selling whatever earns them commission. That's especially so with property sales.
        * Capital-guaranteed products. The word "guaranteed" must be one of the most misused terms in investment, sometimes not worth the paper it's written on.
        Just look at the "guaranteed" rents offered to Blue Chip investors. Many of them haven't seen a cent of rent in months.
        What many investors don't understand about the word "guaranteed" is that they pay for their own guarantee. Those selling the product aren't doing it out of the goodness of their hearts.
        In the equities markets and also with debt securities, many managed fund-type investments offer guarantees. What they guarantee is that you'll get your capital back at the end of a fixed period of time.
        But even if you get your capital back, you've still lost money because inflation means that capital buys less than it used to. Why not put the money in the bank?
        The main exception to the rule is government guarantees. One example of this is the guaranteed rent offered to investors who lease their properties to Housing New Zealand.
        But this doesn't guarantee the capital value of the property, just the rent.
        * Property. It's not homeowners who really have to worry about property prices falling, nor long-term serious investors who have been in the property market for longer than the latest boom.
        It's those so-called mum and dad investors who were "sold" properties by "advisers" in new-build property in the past couple of years who really need to worry.
        If the properties were already loss-making when bought and they drop in value, it could get to the point where the bank calls in the mortgage. More than one Blue Chip investor at a recent public meeting had seen a $100,000 drop in the capital value of the property they'd bought - hard to stomach any time, but worse if they ended up at a mortgagee sale.
        On Wednesday, when I spoke to Stephen Parr, a Tauranga-based financial planner from Harmer Parr, he'd just spotted an advertisement in a local newspaper for property company Richmastery: "Now is the time to buy property ... invest with the full-time support of experts." Pull the other one.
        * Hedge funds and derivative-backed investments. Don't get me wrong: these can be fantastic products to ride out tricky markets - such as we're in now. But some of the financial advisers I spoke to this week admitted they didn't fully understand how they worked. That's exactly what happened with structured debt products such as Macquarie Fortress notes, which have come in for some very bad publicity over the past few weeks.
        When it comes to hedge funds and fund investments reliant on derivatives trading, they are usually described in terms of "alternative asset categories", says Jordi Garcia, financial planner at New Zealand Financial Planning.
        They may not be bad, says Garcia, but financial planners have a fiduciary duty to avoid putting clients' money in products they don't fully understand.
        Many of the investments invented in the past 15 years to squeeze greater returns are often very complex indeed.
        Another commentator adds that the various layers of management and packaging in these products make them expensive, like the apple that has been cellophane-wrapped and packaged in a fancy box. It costs more.
        * Capitalising or cash-flow loans. These mortgages involve rolling a set portion of each month's mortgage payment into the mortgage - which increases the debt. The advantage is that your outgoings can be matched to your income from rent, with any shortfalls added to the mortgage. Great if the property is going up in value.
        Yet at the very time they become flavour of the month, property values head south. The last thing an investor wants to do is compound their debt.
        * Reverse-equity mortgages. On the surface, these are another one of those "no-brainer" investments.
        They are available to older people who have equity locked up in their home, but no other liquid investments, and involve taking out a mortgage against your home where the interest payments are rolled up and deducted only when you die, or move on.
        In many cases the loans are small, $10,000 or $20,000.
        But if you live another 20 years the interest on that - which is often more than 11 per cent a year - can eat up large chunks of capital in your home, leaving you with little or no equity to hand on to future generations or pay for a move into a retirement home.
        These loans are relatively new and we haven't had time for Kiwis to appreciate the full impact of them. In the UK they have come in for bad press when borrowers realised how expensive they are.
        The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) found that some borrowers failed to understand them and, worse, children encouraged their older parents to take out reverse mortgages to make the money available to them.
        Ultimately, a well-diversified fund based on a good understanding of your risk profile, financial objectives and priorities, that doesn't put too many eggs in one basket and has well-chosen investments, can ride most volatility - providing the investor has a long-term view.
        Latest breaking news articles, photos, video, blogs, reviews, analysis, opinion and reader comment from New Zealand and around the World - NZ Herald
        New to property investing? See: Best PropertyTalk Threads for New and Old Investors And/Or:Propertytalk Wiki

        Comment

        Working...