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My personal learnings from the event:
1) population growth drives real estate prices.
2) Auckland will slow down but no crash in sight yet
3) Auckland driving up provincial towns, aka ripple effect during the boom
4) Stick to residential, don't get distracted in to commercial real estate
5) Auckland house prices are getting cheaper for the past 4 years if you convert that to USD and RMB (no wonder we have an overseas buyers problem!)
6) Boom is not over yet, based on lots of economic indicators and data from CoreLogic/ANZ
Other things:
a) Dolf de Roos is taller than I thought, even taller than Andrew King!
b) DdR is a great speaker, but I find Brad Sugars to be better
c) Lots of passionate investors from all over the country, and some are interested to invest in Auckland
d) Mr Rental Shamabeel is getting fat. He needs a new suit
e) Kesh Marajah was getting complex with his systems and rules on the business side of things, but good investor non the less
Apartment market had massive growth, but returns are limited now. - waiting to next slump in that market.
Kesh was great: he should have had 1 and half hour to talk not one, as we didn't even touch the tip of the iceberg with him. Perhaps because I had few chats with him in the past I can see different picture from those who just seen the presentation first time Kesh.
Dolf was disappointing for me. Perhaps I expected more then the basics... His last hour was the best on Commercial etc. while the rest was repeat of his books and audio course whic I listened to 10 times back in the days 2004-2006
You didn't come to say hello and I can't remember seeing you near Ron's table.
Also:
Watch out for China's economy and the US, US interest rates affect our long term rates (over 3 years)
Last boom Auckland's growth was more moderated then the rest of NZ, this boom it is higher. This maybe repeated in the next cycle, meaning that the rest of NZ will have higher growth then Auckland over the next boom or it may repeat any odd cycle.
Hamilton and Tauranga prices still have room to grow but nowhere near Auckland prices in the medium to long term
Commercial offers better returns then residential but could be more risky.
Last edited by Orkibi; 22-10-2015, 02:42 PM.
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