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  1. #5541
    Join Date
    Sep 2004
    Location
    Hastings
    Posts
    15,486

    Default What is The Actual Number, Now?

    Quote Originally Posted by PTILoveYou View Post
    Chinese sharemarket will crash sometime this year...
    Quote Originally Posted by speights boy View Post
    About what percentage correction do you expect this to be?
    Quote Originally Posted by PTILoveYou View Post
    Judging from the last crash, and the amount of speculation is in China, I say 60% drop, from say 5000 points to 2000 points.
    Anyone know if that 2000 figure has been arrived at?
    Want a great looking concrete swimming pool in Hawke's Bay? Designer Pools will do the job for you!

  2. #5542
    Join Date
    Sep 2004
    Location
    Hastings
    Posts
    15,486

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by WINZ View Post
    I’ve given a time-frame before, but we’re expecting from Q2 2018 onwards (likely late ‘18 - early ‘19) - you can hold me to that.

    Damage - impossible to quantify but the GFC was approx $22 trillion in asset devaluations and direct economic damage (i.e lost output).

    I would expect that the US stock marker will at least half (50-60%) which alone is probably $20 trillion. Add in real estate, bonds (currently $11 trillion are yielding negative returns globally), global assets etc and you have a large sum of money.
    Quote Originally Posted by Bob Kane View Post
    Good man.
    A date: mid 2019 at latest
    Magnitude: US stock market at least half what it is now (Dow Jones: 16 Jan 2018 = 25,792)
    My interpretation of this: you are claiming the Dow Jones will drop below 13,000 before June 2019.
    Is this right?

    Perry, can you set this up on that trusty diary of your please?
    Quote Originally Posted by Perry View Post
    Done! So now, here we are.

    How's that prediction looking, folks?
    For those of you who follow (and understand) the shear market, how are those numbers looking now? (1 June 2020)
    Want a great looking concrete swimming pool in Hawke's Bay? Designer Pools will do the job for you!

  3. #5543
    Join Date
    Apr 2018
    Posts
    260

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Perry View Post
    For those of you who follow (and understand) the shear market, how are those numbers looking now? (1 June 2020)
    See Perry there is more outside property hehe jks :-)? I know you shorted on the down and got in on the up :-P

    On serious note, is good to see a rebound.

    Low 18591.93 (March 23 2020)

    Current ~25400

    High this year was ~29400

    Even better when you are the dude off the TV show "Billions", until you get caught haha. Lock up and throw away the key.



    Last edited by OnTheMove; 01-06-2020 at 10:12 PM.

  4. #5544
    Join Date
    Apr 2004
    Posts
    836

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Perry View Post
    For those of you who follow (and understand) the shear market, how are those numbers looking now? (1 June 2020)
    Brilliant got hit hard during march watched all my profits for 19/20 get wiped ...shifted some funds around with Gold stock focus and just 2 months later near 10% higher that my highest portfolio high in FEB .. dirt cheap money + FEAR Business unemployment civil war + Property bubbles.... I'm more than happy to be holding my stocks
    Gold price outlook very bullish... copper also trending higher

  5. #5545
    Join Date
    Sep 2004
    Location
    Hastings
    Posts
    15,486

    Default

    Whether the perceived value goes up or down, what are / were the dividends? Or ROI - if you prefer.

    I have only one parcel of shares - in the local port company. It's just advised no six-monthly dividend. No idea what's happened to the value of those shares, though.

    I have rentals and the rent has kept coming in at the same levels. No idea what's happened to the value of those rentals, though.
    Want a great looking concrete swimming pool in Hawke's Bay? Designer Pools will do the job for you!

  6. #5546
    Join Date
    Jun 2004
    Posts
    10,631

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Perry View Post
    I have only one parcel of shares - in the local port company. It's just advised no six-monthly dividend. No idea what's happened to the value of those shares, though.
    Port of Napier I presume - you can see the share price here
    https://www.napierport.co.nz/investor-centre/#share

  7. #5547
    Join Date
    Jun 2004
    Posts
    10,631

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Perry View Post
    Whether the perceived value goes up or down, what are / were the dividends? Or ROI - if you prefer.
    Many companies have stopped dividends for now - until they see where all this is going (company profit wise).
    Shares went down (most but not all - some went up) and then went back up.
    Most have regained the majority of their value.
    Was a good opportunity to buy a few more of good companies.

  8. #5548
    Join Date
    Sep 2004
    Location
    Hastings
    Posts
    15,486

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Wayne View Post
    Port of Napier I presume - you can see the share price here
    https://www.napierport.co.nz/investor-centre/#share
    Thanks for that link. I do not even know what I paid for the shares I have.

    I was a part of the HB community that wanted ownership to stay local. The initial AGM was interesting. Lots of ma & pa investors and a lot of familiar faces. One enduring memory was the announcement that 97% of the port employees had become shareholders at the IPO. They wondered - out loud - if that might be something of a record.
    Want a great looking concrete swimming pool in Hawke's Bay? Designer Pools will do the job for you!

  9. #5549
    Join Date
    Mar 2015
    Location
    Brisbane Wellington Auckland
    Posts
    937

    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Wayne View Post
    Many companies have stopped dividends for now - until they see where all this is going (company profit wise).
    Shares went down (most but not all - some went up) and then went back up.
    Most have regained the majority of their value.
    Was a good opportunity to buy a few more of good companies.
    Yeah I have reduced the dividends from the properties too until I know which way things are heading too!


 

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