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Investors give shoeboxes the boot, at stomped-down price

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  • Investors give shoeboxes the boot, at stomped-down price

    Investors give shoeboxes the boot, at stomped-down price
    27 August 2006
    By GREG NINNESS

    Prices for so-called shoebox apartments in central Auckland have fallen dramatically and some investors have lost $100,000 or more on those they bought new a year or two ago.

    Thousands of the apartments, called shoeboxes because of their small size - typically under 50sqm - have been built in high rise blocks in Auckland's CBD over the past few years. Most were sold off the plans (before they were built) to mum and dad investors who often mortgaged their family homes to buy them.

    As the value of their investment units had fallen, many owners were deciding to cash up and cut their losses rather than hang on in the hope things would eventually come right.

    An auction at central Auckland real estate company City Sales last week produced some typical results:

    A 40sqm two bedroom apartment in the Altitude building on Kingston St was sold fully furnished for $158,000, compared with its $218,000 purchase price in December 2003, leaving the owner with a loss of $60,000. When the real estate agent's commission and legal fees are added, the total loss to the original buyer would be about a third. The apartment had a council valuation of $225,000.

    A 36sqm two bedroom apartment with an outdoor car park in the Zest building on Nelson St which was completed last year, sold for $190,000 compared with its original purchase price of $253,000. It had a council valuation of $232,000.

    City Sales managing director Martin Dunn said he regarded those prices as quite good. He had sold some inner city apartments for as little as $90,000 over the past few months.

    A flood of sales of the units began in September last year and many owners had taken a hit on the price "big time" compared with what they paid for them, he said.

    Some had lost more than $100,000 on a single unit and many investors had more than one unit they were wanting to quit.

    Dunn said the one thing most vendors had in common was having bought after attending "investment seminars" run by the developers.

    These had tended to be short on facts and long on slick salesmanship.

    "They were never told how small they (the apartments) were," Dunn said. "All the information was up on the walls, there was no information they could walk away with. And they were stitched up on the spot."

    He said City Sales had refused to sell the new apartments off the plans "because I knew what would happen", but he was happy to handle resales.

    The developers who had run seminars had cast their nets wide to catch investors from all over the country.

    Dunn said he had recently sold some apartments on behalf of a group of Southland farmers who had bought them off the plans.

    The fall in prices had been a disaster for the original purchasers, but there was no shortage of buyers wanting to snap up the apartments at the lower prices.

    At last week's auction, there were six bidders for the Altitude apartment and five for the Zest apartment.

    This was because the lower purchase prices significantly improved their investment performance.

    The Altitude apartment should provide rental income of $300 a week ($15,600 a year). When rates of $707 a year and body corporate fees of $1776 a year were deducted, this left net income of $13,117 a year.

    At the purchase price of $158,000 this provided a yield (net income as a percentage of the purchase price) of 8.3% a year before tax, which compared favourably with many other types of investments.

    At the original purchase price of $218,000 the apartment would have produced a yield of just 6%.

    The Zest apartment's selling price of $190,000 provided a yield of 7.6%, compared with 5.7% at its original purchase price of $253,000.

    Dunn said most of those selling were mums and dads, but most of those buying were "experienced, canny investors who see a temporary opportunity to buy a property for less than its intrinsic value".

    But the best bargains may be gone.

    Dunn said he had sold some apartments with yields as high as 10%.

    Most of the new buyers were taking at least a five-year view of their investment, he said.

    Sales were also being helped by strong demand from young tenant couples who couldn't afford to buy in the suburbs and were frustrated with high petrol prices and choked roads.





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  • #2
    I read Olly Newlands book "When the Bubble bursts " about 2 years ago and this very scenario was detailed.

    But the best bargains may be gone.

    Dunn said he had sold some apartments with yields as high as 10%.

    This is an excerpt from http://www.citysales.co.nz/faq.htm#NM1


    1. How many Apartments are there in Auckland City ?
    As at August 2006 there are an estimated 13,000 - 14,000 completed Apartments in the Auckland CBD.
    2. How many Apartments will there be in 2 years time ?
    If predicted estimates all eventuate, the current numbers of apartments could increase by another 50% within 2 years.
    Is this the best time to buy or will prices drop more? How does one tell? Maybe Martin Dunn is trying to get as many sales in now to get a better commision - before prices drop even further.
    Last edited by ActionMan; 28-08-2006, 05:32 AM.

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    • #3
      An apartment in a student block went for $88,000 the other week. 2 bedroom 54 SQM.

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by ActionMan
        Is this the best time to buy or will prices drop more? How does one tell? Maybe Martin Dunn is trying to get as many sales in now to get a better commision - before prices drop even further.
        Shoebox size apartments are not being built anymore so whoever needs to get out and is not capable of riding out the hit has most probably left, notice the valuations have not been affected, though I believe the prices wont move back to the level of the valuation until the next boom.

        The rest of the apartments on the other hand are in a different market and look to be holding their prices from what I see, this may change as there is still a considerable amount to come onto the market.

        Comment


        • #5
          I have been looking at City Apartments for offshore buyers for some time, 2 months ago a 2bdr furnished in the Zest similer to the one quoted sold for $155k,the bargains of a few months ago are scarce now. If you look at some of the better developments ie The Statesman you will find that prices have remained fairly strong over the last few months. I have found that most of the investors jumping ship and cutting losses are from Australia and were looking at the fall of the NZ Dollar in conjunction with a flooded market of 28 to 45sq metre boxes.
          Be the change you wish to see in the World.
          "Gandhi"

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by ivi View Post
            notice the valuations have not been affected, though I believe the prices wont move back to the level of the valuation until the next boom.
            The valuations are government valuations are probably highly effect by the price people originally paid. It will be interesting to see if they reduce next time they revise (in another 2-3 years).

            Comment


            • #7
              interesting, i can see this happens with these match boexes only...not with the high quality and luxury one...

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              • #8
                Originally posted by CJ View Post
                The valuations are government valuations are probably highly effect by the price people originally paid. It will be interesting to see if they reduce next time they revise (in another 2-3 years).
                I have not heard of government valuations going in any direction then up, especialy since rates are directly linked to them.

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by ivi View Post
                  I have not heard of government valuations going in any direction then up, especialy since rates are directly linked to them.
                  The GV on my inlaws Mt Wellington property dropped by about 30% in the late 90's (I think). Was a hell of a shock to them and a lot of other Aucklanders.

                  Remember also that the total cost of running a city is split amongst rate payers. Rates do not go up because your GV goes up. Rates go up because it costs more and more to run the city and deliver services. GV's can fall and rates can still go up.

                  Gerrard

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                  • #10
                    Thanks Gerrard,

                    A silly question but is a Council Valuation (CV) the same as a Government Valuation (GV), I recently received a higher CV, suposedly my rates will go up accordinlgy, then rates should go up or down based on the valuation?

                    Cheers,

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Yep CV (council valuation) and RV (rating valuation) are the terms used these days for the old GV (govt valuation).

                      Like I said before, a change in CV/RV/GV doesn't automatically flow on to a change in rates. Take a few (very) simplified examples below:

                      Example 1:
                      Total value of all properties in your city = $1 million
                      CV of your property = $100k
                      Council spends 100k a year on cost of operations

                      In this case your property is 10% of the value of all properties in the city so you pay 10% of the running costs of the city = $10k.

                      Example 2:
                      Thanks to a boom the following figures have changed:
                      Total value of all properties in your city now = $2 million
                      CV of your property now = $200k
                      Council still only spends 100k a year on cost of operations

                      In this case your property is still 10% of the value of all properties in the city so you still pay 10% of the running costs of the city = $10k.

                      Example 3:
                      Due to the boom inflaction has also pushed up the cost of concil operations :
                      Total value of all properties in your city = $2 million
                      CV of your property = $200k
                      Council now spends 110k a year on cost of operations

                      In this case your property is still 10% of the value of all properties in the city so you still pay 10% of the running costs of the city, which is now $11k.



                      Of course each council calculates figures differently. Some have fixed proportions and variable proportions of rates. Also the value of your property versus the total value of the city changes a bit over time, and of course the cost of council operations always seems to be growing. For all these reasons an change in your
                      GV could result in a small, none, or large change in your rates.


                      Hope that makes sense!
                      Gerrard

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Agree with Gerrad - Get this - my value when up, but less that the average so my rates actually went down dispite that fact that average rates went up.

                        Valuations give your share of the pie. Councils who spend more made a bigger pie. From a rates point of veiw, Ideally you want your value to go down (in comparison to others) and the pie to get smaller (due to less spending).

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                        • #13
                          Yes thanks Gerrard & CJ,

                          suspected as much, I was just getting flustered with the CV/RV/GV thing.

                          Cheers,

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