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Rates dropping while funding dries up

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  • Rates dropping while funding dries up

    Rates dropping while funding dries up

    We have had the mother of all rate cuts recently, with the Reserve Bank slashing 100 basis points off its official cash rate. Thankfully many of the lenders have passed on much of this decrease to borrowers with reduced home loans.

    Wednesday, October 29th 2008, 10:30AM

    This has been particularly evident in the floating rate area where rates are down the full 100 points. It hasn't been quite so pronounced in the fixed rate market where cuts have been smaller.

    This is all great news, especially to anyone refinancing an existing home loan at the moment. But there is a catch. That is, many of the lenders haven't got a lot of money to lend out at the moment due to the global financial crisis.

    The crisis has pushed up the cost of money in the international markets where banks source some of their funding. The crisis has also made pricing volatile.

    The upshot of this situation is that many of the non-bank lenders are no longer in the market. Of those that remain they aren't offering fixed rate loans in many of the common terms, such as two years. Meanwhile, banks have toughened their lending criteria, making it harder to get loans approved and there is talk in the market one major bank has "switched off the tap" and is no longer lending.

    So while rates are getting down to numbers near their historical average, it's hard to actually get a loan.

    The other development is that banks are breaking ranks and following different pricing strategies.

    While we generally make comparisons among the big banks it is worth including two of the smaller banks at the moment; Kiwibank and TSB.

    These two, which fund most of their loans from the domestic market, are leading competition in interest rates.

    Kiwibank has set its floating rate at 8.70% which is significantly lower than the big banks which are all sitting at around the 9.45% mark and TSB is on 9.95%.

    When it comes to the popular two-year term, Kiwibank and TSB are aggressively pricing their rates below the 8% barrier and as low as 7.78% when the borrower has a loan-to-value ratio of no more than 80%, while the big banks have two-year rates in the 8.20% to 8.30% band.

    More rate cuts are predicted to come before Christmas so home loan rates should continue to fall.

    To keep up with the changes and compare rates click on Mortgage Rates.

    We have had the mother of all rate cuts recently, with the Reserve Bank slashing 100 basis points off its official cash rate. Thankfully many of the lenders have passed on much of this decrease to borrowers with reduced home loans.
    "There's one way to find out if a man is honest-ask him. If he says 'yes,' you know he is a crook." Groucho Marx

  • #2
    Well the RB has secured US funding at least

    Not sure we really want the Fed bailing us out too?

    The United States Federal Reserve and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand have agreed to work together to ensure local banks and other financial institutions can continue to access the US dollar funds they need if that becomes impossible through usual channels.
    The central banks yesterday announced the establishment of a "temporary reciprocal currency arrangement" or "swap line" to address elevated pressures in US dollar short-term funding markets. The agreement was formalised after the Fed's Open Market Committee approved the Reserve Bank's request for a swap facility that will support the provision of US dollar liquidity to the New Zealand markets in amounts of up to US$15 billion ($26 billion).
    Latest breaking news articles, photos, video, blogs, reviews, analysis, opinion and reader comment from New Zealand and around the World - NZ Herald

    Comment


    • #3
      Yeah, why are the yanks offering us money?

      It's like they're bailing out their own economy and want us to do the same. "Here's some cash they say, keep the party going man!"

      I am uneasy about all of this. I don't fully understand what's going on but I don't feel comfortable with it.

      David
      Squadly dinky do!

      Comment


      • #4
        delaying the inevitable. The pain has to be experienced sooner or later.
        Until everyone notices that the emperor has no clothes, I will remain Cashed4crash

        Comment


        • #5
          Yeah, I'm starting to wonder if perhaps there won't be a bust of any magnitude here this time round but there might be a hugely collamitous bust at some point in the future.

          So I think they state banks around the world might be able to inflate their way out of this current situation, but 2 or 5 or 10 years into the future it'll all blow up again and the brown stuff will really hit the fan.

          David
          Squadly dinky do!

          Comment


          • #6
            I think you're onto something. But there's no point fighting it, better to take advantage as best you can. Borrow and buy up big now, and then sell before the big crash (using your crystal ball).

            Comment


            • #7
              Apparently there may be very bad unemployment stats coming out on Thursday. Around 4.3% I heard on the telly. So maybe this is all just taking a while to happen.

              Also, I did hear a couple of interesting things in the last 3 days:

              1) Talking to a guy who does audio/visual design (for video conferencing etc.) who says he is booked solid until beginning of 2010. Works with very big corporates.
              2) Spoke to a young guy who is a CNC machine operator at a factory. All the employees have been given the option of a) The firm closes or b) they all work 25% less hours.
              3) Rang up a shop today called StereoWorld. I bought a tv, amp and speakers from them earlier in the year. The phone message said they were in receivership. Now this firm is iconic in Akl, in Dominion Rd. Been there for ages. Also, I bloody well paid for 5 years warranty on all the gear, $500 worth. Argh.
              4) NZ Herald is up for sale! Irish owners need to repatriate cash. What an asset to have man. Link: http://www.nbr.co.nz/article/oreilly...uce-debt-37224
              5) Article in Herald states that salaries and wages are increasing faster than ever: http://www.propertytalk.com/forum/sh...624#post150624

              So mixed messages, but all in all I think more people are hurting than there are doing well. I think there's a bit of disconnect. The semi skilled, unskilled, people in building industry are doing badly but the highly skilled (e.g. IT sector) are still doing very well.


              David
              Last edited by muppet; 03-11-2008, 09:47 PM. Reason: changed date from 2001 to 2010
              Squadly dinky do!

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by Davo36 View Post
                Apparently there may be very bad unemployment stats coming out on Thursday. Around 4.3% I heard on the telly. So maybe this is all just taking a while to happen.So mixed messages, but all in all I think more people are hurting than there are doing well. I think there's a bit of disconnect. The semi skilled, unskilled, people in building industry are doing badly but the highly skilled (e.g. IT sector) are still doing very well.


                David
                The salary rise statistics are lagging behind and probably represent an accurate state of affairs for the past year.

                A couple of companies my family members work in have just had major layoffs and plan to reduce work hours and salaries to the remaining employees.

                I have absolutely no doubt there's plenty more bad employment news in the pipeline. And it could be a major drag on the economy in the next couple of years.

                It's going to spread out to the IT industry sooner or later. I have no doubt. I just believe the IT folks will be a bit more sheltered due to structural (long term) lack of skilled staff.

                The good news for those among us who export is - the NZD has collapsed so the overseas clients are now worth more.

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