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  • Auckland Property Values Slightly Higher Than Previous Months

    This may be worth noting.....

    January 5, 2023 December data statement

    Fall In Auckland House Prices Stalls In Final Quarter

    While Auckland’s leading real estate agency experienced its slowest month of trading in a December for 5 years, and the median price for the month was 16 percent below peak, prices on a month-by- month basis have remained static for four months.

    “Contrary to the expectations of economists and commentators, the median price paid for property in December has barely moved from where it was in September,” said Peter Thompson, Managing Director of Barfoot & Thompson.

    “In December, the median price paid was $1,067,500, the second highest median price in the past four months.

    “In the first 8 months of the year the median price declined gradually, but then stopped falling and has remained static since.

    “A similar pattern can be seen in the average sales price, which at $1,155,131 for December, was the highest average price in three months.

    “While all the drivers putting pressure on prices such as rising interest rates and inflation, concerns over future economic activity and more properties for sale than there have been for a decade remain, vendors have become cautious about accepting what they consider to be too low an offer.

    “In December the effect of this reluctance was particularly felt in the under $750,000 price category, and we sold only 90 homes in this price segment.

    “At the same time, we sold 37 homes for more than $2 million, 12 of them for more than $3 million.

    “Overall, 2022 was a challenging one for property and was dominated by extremely low sales numbers and falling prices.

    “During the year we sold 37 percent fewer homes than in 2021, and the average number of homes sold each month at 706 was our lowest since 2010.

    “However, while prices fell, they have remained at high levels when compared to those being achieved in the early part of 2021 and before they peaked in the last quarter of 2021.

    “The stability of prices over the past four months has resulted in the median monthly sales price for the 2022 calendar year being $1,117,000, which is 1.4 percent higher than that for 2021.

    “New listings continue to reach the market, and in December we listed 702 new properties, and at month end we had 4664 properties on our books.

    “The rural and lifestyle market experienced quiet trading in December with sales of $33 million, bringing the average monthly sales for the full year to $66.9 million, the lowest monthly average since 2019.

    “In Northland buyer interest continued to be shown in beef breeding and finishing units with larger units being sought for forestry, which remains a big player in bare land sales.”

    -ends-

    Barfoot & Thompson knows Auckland best. It is the city’s leading real estate company, selling around one in three Auckland residential homes, significantly ahead of all other competitor brands.

    For further information, contact Peter Thompson, Managing Director, Barfoot & Thompson, www.barfoot.co.nz.
    December Previous Month Previous 3 Month Average December 2021
    Average Price $1,155,131 $1,153,795 +0.1% $1,151,876 +0.3% $1,278,647 -9.7%
    Median Price $1,067,500 $1,065,000 +0.2% $1,074,000 -0.6% $1,235,000 -13.6%
    Sales 527 700 -24.7% 647 -18.5% 911 -42.2%
    New Listings 702 1577 -55.5% 1416 -50.4% 948 -25.9%
    Month-End Stock 4664 5052 -7.7% 4787 -2.6% 3646 +27.9%
    cheers,

    Donna
    SEARCH PropertyTalk, About PropertyTalk

    BusinessBlogs - the best business articles are found here

  • #2
    Interesting data. What caught my eye was “During the year we sold 37 percent fewer homes than in 2021, and the average number of homes sold each month at 706 was our lowest since 2010.”

    I think a stand off is occurring between sellers and buyers. Sellers have a sales price in mind and will wait it out. Fewer homes sell but price stability results.

    Moreover, the immigration floodgates will reopen in 2023 and along with it demand for property.
    Last edited by Sanya; 09-01-2023, 01:17 AM.

    Comment


    • #3
      Originally posted by Sanya View Post
      Interesting data. What caught my eye was “During the year we sold 37 percent fewer homes than in 2021, and the average number of homes sold each month at 706 was our lowest since 2010.”

      I think a stand off is occurring between sellers and buyers. Sellers have a sales price in mind and will wait it out. Fewer homes sell but price stability results.

      Moreover, the immigration floodgates will reopen in 2023 and along with it demand for property.
      Great, I need more equity to try and leave the tax slave matrix. Please oh please leave the door open to CHeiina!
      "DEBT BECOMES IRRELEVANT WITH INFLATION".

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by Frezzinghot View Post

        Great, I need more equity to try and leave the tax slave matrix. Please oh please leave the door open to CHeiina!


        Just hang in there FH.

        Economists, property commentators and the media are almost all in unison in calling continued property price falls throughout 2023, with 10% being a commonly cited number. But if you look in the rear vision mirror – how often have these same commentators called in right in the past?


        For the Auckland property market it would not surprise me to see an uptick in property prices in H2 2023. As the Barfoot data shows we are already seeing greater pricing stability and this is supported by REINZ HPI data which shows that whilst house prices are still falling, they are falling at a slowing rate. That’s a sign that we are nearing the bottom of the market.


        For what it’s worth, I also harbour a positive outlook for Auckland rents. There are fewer properties advertised on TradeMe for rent in Auckland right now then what there were for the same time in 2022, 2021, 2020 and 2019.

        Watch what happens when immigration restarts and international tourist and education sectors come back online.

        Net migration inflow of 30,000 people is expected in 2023 with the majority in Auckland.

        500,000 international visitors are expected to fly into NZ in Jan / Feb 2023 alone.

        International students are expected to return increasing from circa 15k to 100k over the next two years.

        Migrants will buy or rent houses. Some Auckland rental stock will flip to AirBnB (for tourists) and students will soak up inner city apartments once more.


        In 2024 we could see Auckland house prices up 5% and rents up 10%.
        Last edited by Sanya; 10-01-2023, 03:13 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by Sanya View Post



          Just hang in there FH.

          Economists, property commentators and the media......
          None of that matters.

          Prices are only dependent on the amount of funny money central banks want to throw out into the economy.

          Prices are mostly a monetary phenomena.

          So then therefore are get rich quick leveraging schemes.

          I don't get why both of you are so unwise.

          If I came to a new country, and left an overcrowded one, I would be smart enough to want to keep the new one less populated.

          Also, work is good and can be rewarding.

          Some people are just bone lazy.

          Both short sightedness and laziness aren't admirable qualities in any human being.

          But wait, there is hope.

          We may get smart AI screening on immigration, and only real future human assets to the country will be admitted.
          Last edited by McDuck; 10-01-2023, 06:50 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by Sanya View Post



            Just hang in there FH.

            Economists, property commentators and the media are almost all in unison in calling continued property price falls throughout 2023, with 10% being a commonly cited number. But if you look in the rear vision mirror – how often have these same commentators called in right in the past?


            For the Auckland property market it would not surprise me to see an uptick in property prices in H2 2023. As the Barfoot data shows we are already seeing greater pricing stability and this is supported by REINZ HPI data which shows that whilst house prices are still falling, they are falling at a slowing rate. That’s a sign that we are nearing the bottom of the market.


            For what it’s worth, I also harbour a positive outlook for Auckland rents. There are fewer properties advertised on TradeMe for rent in Auckland right now then what there were for the same time in 2022, 2021, 2020 and 2019.

            Watch what happens when immigration restarts and international tourist and education sectors come back online.

            Net migration inflow of 30,000 people is expected in 2023 with the majority in Auckland.

            500,000 international visitors are expected to fly into NZ in Jan / Feb 2023 alone.

            International students are expected to return increasing from circa 15k to 100k over the next two years.

            Migrants will buy or rent houses. Some Auckland rental stock will flip to AirBnB (for tourists) and students will soak up inner city apartments once more.


            In 2024 we could see Auckland house prices up 5% and rents up 10%.
            It’s really now about if the Asian population want to come back to communist NZ. I mean with all the red tape and hoops they put you through, apart from the beautiful countryside and cheap property why on earth would you come here as opposed to the greener pastures of Aussie?
            "DEBT BECOMES IRRELEVANT WITH INFLATION".

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by Frezzinghot View Post

              It’s really now about if the Asian population want to come back to communist NZ. I mean with all the red tape and hoops they put you through, apart from the beautiful countryside and cheap property why on earth would you come here as opposed to the greener pastures of Aussie?

              Australia will be beneficiary, as will Canada – not that either are easy to immigrate to either.

              Why NZ?

              1. Relatives are already here. Check out Zhang in the Auckland telephone book.

              2. NZ is not more communist than China. You can buy freehold property here and they will, in cash.

              3. Chinese need to get money / wealth out of their country.

              4. NZ property prices are cheap – not that price matters. See 3.
              Last edited by Sanya; 10-01-2023, 02:13 PM.

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by Sanya View Post


                Australia will be beneficiary, as will Canada – not that either are easy to immigrate to either.

                Why NZ?

                1. Relatives are already here. Check out Zhang in the Auckland telephone book.

                2. NZ is not more communist than China. You can buy freehold property here and they will, in cash.

                3. Chinese need to get money / wealth out of their country.

                4. NZ property prices are cheap – not that price matters. See 3.
                1. Yes thats true, and money needs to be sifted through to them from china (more buying of kiwi property)

                2. Maybe, did you ever think you would be locked down under house arrest for potentially sneezing?

                3. Yes probably set to continue. (where does this leave average Jo kiwi?)

                4. Yes still cheap in their eyes, and maybe will inflate Auckland prices in the next few years.
                "DEBT BECOMES IRRELEVANT WITH INFLATION".

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by Frezzinghot View Post

                  1. Yes thats true, and money needs to be sifted through to them from china (more buying of kiwi property)

                  2. Maybe, did you ever think you would be locked down under house arrest for potentially sneezing?

                  3. Yes probably set to continue. (where does this leave average Jo kiwi?)

                  4. Yes still cheap in their eyes, and maybe will inflate Auckland prices in the next few years.
                  Where I live, the asians are moving in, and in numbers, what will this do to property prices in my location, probably increase, it will also shut out aspirational kiwis from ever owning there, you cant have your cake and eat it too, I used to grow up labour, im now just another capitalist pig.
                  "DEBT BECOMES IRRELEVANT WITH INFLATION".

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by Frezzinghot View Post

                    Where I live, the asians are moving in, and in numbers, what will this do to property prices in my location, probably increase, it will also shut out aspirational kiwis from ever owning there, you cant have your cake and eat it too, I used to grow up labour, im now just another capitalist pig.
                    What ive also observed is once they own said property, they hardly ever sell, you dont see kiwis buying off them again, I guess buying property to them is like playing monopoly without the fake money.
                    "DEBT BECOMES IRRELEVANT WITH INFLATION".

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      The Chinese love affair with property knows few limits. But back home the opportunities for them to make money in property have rapidly diminished, whilst the risks in buying new property have increased as developers struggle with cashflow, supply exceeds demand and the central Government ponders property tax reforms.

                      There’s enormous capital flight – in search of a new home and a future return.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Originally posted by Sanya View Post
                        The Chinese love affair with property knows few limits. But back home the opportunities for them to make money in property have rapidly diminished, whilst the risks in buying new property have increased as developers struggle with cashflow, supply exceeds demand and the central Government ponders property tax reforms.

                        There’s enormous capital flight – in search of a new home and a future return.
                        When you put it that way, makes perfect sense
                        "DEBT BECOMES IRRELEVANT WITH INFLATION".

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by Sanya View Post

                          The Chinese love affair with property knows few limits.
                          Similar in many other countries where residential real estate is the most favoured asset for local residents.

                          e.g Australia, US, Canada, UK, NZ.

                          Comment

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