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Qv Residential Price Movement Report

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  • Qv Residential Price Movement Report

    Hi Guys

    Further to the news about house prices released today here are some more figures for your perusal.

    QV RESIDENTIAL PRICE MOVEMENT REPORT - as at August 2005

    City / Region August 2005 Property Value Growth % (Annual % change) / July 2005 Property Value Growth % (Annual % change) / August 2005 Average sale price

    Far North 34 33 $277,501
    Whangarei 27.3 25.2 $270,688
    Kaipara 19.7 23.7 $216,753
    Rodney 12.7 13.1 $417,125
    - Hibiscus Coast 11.9 12.4 $426,654
    - Rodney (North) 14.5 14.3 $402,319
    North Shore City (A) # 11.8 11.3 $473,734
    - Coastal North Shore 12.1 12.3 $533,543
    - North Shore Onewa 11.3 10.7 $391,422
    - North Harbour 11.4 10.1 $477,401
    Waitakere City (A) # 11.9 11.3 $343,674
    Auckland City (A) # 4.4 5.4 $474,260
    - Auckland City (Central) 2.1 1.3 $441,731
    - Auckland City (East) 5.3 7.9 $598,115
    - Auckland City (South) 6.7 6.7 $407,567
    - Islands 10.2 11.7 $480,492
    Manukau City (A) # 12 10.7 $345,652
    - Manukau East 8.8 6.6 $455,295
    - Manukau Central 15.7 16.3 $272,958
    - Manukau North West 15.6 14 $301,146
    Papakura (A) # 14.1 12.7 $284,752
    Franklin 20.7 N/A $293,049
    Thames Coromandel 16.8 18.1 $407,793
    Hauraki N/A N/A N/A
    Waikato 26.6 28.6 $189,801
    Matamata Piako N/A N/A N/A
    Hamilton # 25.4 24.8 $275,922
    - Hamilton North East 22.6 22.5 $333,665
    - Central City/North West 27.2 26.7 $258,191
    - Hamilton South East 24.7 25.2 $266,055
    - Hamilton South West 29.2 27.6 $252,584
    Waipa 30.7 26.2 $248,522
    Otorohanga 50.4 50.3 $146,693
    South Waikato 40.2 35.4 $99,468
    Waitomo 32.4 28.2 $106,067
    Taupo 14.1 14.8 $333,183
    Western Bay of Plenty 13.5 18 $366,925
    Tauranga # 10 9.6 $397,980
    Rotorua 22 20.5 $196,901
    Whakatane 46.2 41.8 $278,397
    Kawerau 47.2 42.3 $101,405
    Opotiki 49.8 56.7 $183,971
    Gisborne 29.1 28.9 $206,957
    Wairoa 33.2 36.8 $107,731
    Hastings 21 18.7 $258,515
    Napier City # 14.8 14.4 $306,911
    Central Hawkes Bay 17.2 19.2 $154,203
    New Plymouth 35.5 35.4 $273,289
    Stratford 52.7 57.2 $146,841
    South Taranaki 40.6 38.9 $131,291
    Ruapehu 36.3 26 $114,728
    Wanganui 42.9 41.3 $150,661
    Rangitikei 36.4 34.6 $110,482
    Manawatu 20.3 18.1 $173,247
    Palmerston North # 18.5 16.9 $231,738
    Tararua 22.1 19.8 $110,579
    Horowhenua 13.3 14.3 $162,188
    Kapiti Coast 11.8 13.1 $279,204
    Porirua (W) # 16.4 16.6 $288,008
    Upper Hutt (W) # 15.1 12 $241,420
    Lower Hutt (W) # 15.1 14.5 $282,331
    Wellington City (W) # 10.5 9.5 $398,409
    - Wellington City & Southern Suburbs 8.6 8.1 $375,575
    - Eastern Suburbs 9.8 8.9 $436,347
    - North Wellington 11.8 10.8 $373,276
    - Western Suburbs 11.3 10.4 $464,912
    Masterton 11.5 11 $184,452
    Carterton 11.4 10.6 $154,934
    South Wairarapa 13.2 16.8 $180,132
    Tasman 4.1 2.7 $310,803
    Nelson # 1.3 -0.7 $313,792
    Marlborough 12.8 7.2 $275,589
    Kaikoura 8.3 15.9 $345,250
    Buller 35.3 39.8 $135,708
    Grey 32.7 26.4 $152,191
    Westland 20.7 25.4 $177,463
    Hurunui 16.9 21.5 $260,519
    Waimakariri 20.7 21.6 $267,974
    Christchurch City # 19.5 18.9 $295,243
    - East 21.1 21.3 $244,773
    - Hills 19.3 18.2 $418,743
    - Central City and North 18 15.9 $349,527
    - Southwest 20.2 20.4 $269,443
    Banks Peninsula 21.7 21.4 $393,953
    Selwyn 37.2 37.8 $276,816
    Ashburton 22.9 22.4 $181,452
    Timaru 23.4 23.4 $177,696
    MacKenzie 24.9 19.2 $187,579
    Waimate 19 19.1 $130,255
    Waitaki 11.2 13 $173,080
    Central Otago 17.8 14.7 $244,015
    Queenstown Lakes 11.7 11.3 $519,701
    Dunedin # 21.2 21.4 $230,679
    - Central/Northern City 20.3 22 $240,705
    - Peninsular/Coastal Dunedin 22.3 30.5 $198,696
    - Southern City 19.6 19.3 $218,285
    - Taieri 22.5 19.8 $246,466
    Clutha 25.4 22.5 $144,037
    Southland 13.6 14.5 $134,220
    Gore 9 9.9 $115,931
    Invercargill # 9.5 8.9 $141,693

    Total NZ 14.7 14.3 $307,977

    Auckland Region (A) 8.3 8.3 $407,513
    Wellington Region (W) 12.6 11.6 $333,944
    Main Urban Areas # 11.6 11.3 $344,048

    Notes on the above data:

    If a City or Region is shown in italics with an * this indicates the values for this area may not be statistically accurate as they are based on a low volume of sales.
    N/A - indicates that either there were too few sales to report a Property Value Growth % or that the data for this period was unavailable

    The information included in the above table is calculated based on the sales data entered into QV's system for the previous 3 month period. For example, information for the period ending June will be calculated based on sales entered between April 1 and June 30.

    Property Value Growth is the annual % change in residential property values, calculated using QV's House Price Index methodology. The residential sales entered into QV's system for the previous 3 month period are compared to the same period of the previous year to identify the annual percentage change in residential property values. Average sale prices are calculated based on residential sales entered into QV's system for the previous 3 month period.

    Residential Price Movement
    Questions and Answers:

    The following information is provided as background to the Residential Price Movement statistics.

    1. What is the Residential Price Movement Report?

    The Residential Price Movement Report is a new set of residential property statistics that provides an estimate of the change in residential property values over the previous 12 months for areas throughout New Zealand. Residential sales compiled by QV for the previous 3 months are compared to the same period of the previous year to identify the annual percentage change in residential property values. The residential sales included are for residential houses, apartments, flats, home and income properties, and houses converted to flats.

    2. Why has the Residential Price Movement Report been developed?

    The Residential Price Movement Report has been developed to provide a timely indicator of residential property value movement, using the latest residential sales data compiled by QV for the previous 3 month period.

    QV has previously only released property statistics quarterly. QV’s measure of price movement has been the Quarterly House Price Index (QHPI). The QHPI only includes sales that have been notified to the Territorial Authority that sold within the quarter. As sales of properties can sometimes take 4-6 weeks to settle, the QHPI is released after an extended period to incorporate as much sales activity from the quarter, which results in increased statistical accuracy, but also a less timely output.

    As the Residential Price Movement Report uses the sales compiled by QV over a 3 month period, rather than the sales that necessarily sold within that period, the Residential Price Movement Report can be released on a more frequent basis, providing a timelier indicator of property value movement. The Residential Price Movement Report also includes sales activity in other residential property sectors including apartments and flats.

    3. How frequently will the Residential Price Movement Report be released?

    The Residential Price Movement Report data will be available to the media on a monthly basis. It will be released to the media for publication on either the second or third Monday of each month.

    4. How current is the Residential Price Movement data?

    The data contained in the Residential Price Movement Report is based on the residential sales compiled by QV for the previous 3 month period.

    For example, the Residential Price Movement Report as at January 2005 will include sales compiled by QV up until 31 January 2005 and include sales compiled since 1 November 2004.

    5. Why does the Residential Price Movement Report include sales compiled by QV over a 3 month period?

    Sales are included over a 3 month period rather than a single month to ensure that there are sufficient sales volumes to calculate statistically accurate property value growth.

    6. How is the Residential Price Movement data calculated?

    The Residential Price Movement Report includes two indicators of property value; the property value growth, and average sales prices.

    Property Value Growth
    The Property Value Growth uses QV’s House Price Index methodology, which generates a residential index for each area by recognising the sales price of each property sold compared to its capital value. This ensures the index provides a measure of change in property values, without fluctuations caused by higher sales volumes in one or more property sectors (e.g. high volumes of apartment sales or investment properties).

    Residential sales compiled by QV for the previous 3 month period are compared to the sales compiled by QV for the same period the previous year to identify the annual percentage change in property values.

    Average Sales Prices
    The Average Sales Prices calculated in the Residential Price Movement Report are based on residential sales compiled by QV for the previous 3 month period.

    7. Does property value growth reflect a change in average sales prices?

    No. Property Value Growth does not reflect a change in average sales prices, which are only given to enable a comparison of sale prices for one month compared to the last. Property Value Growth uses QV’s House Price Index methodology to generate a residential index for each area by recognising the sales price of each property sold compared to its capital value.


    8. Why does QV recommend using the Property Value Growth rather than Average Sales Prices to verify the change in property values over time?

    Average Sales Prices are only provided in the Residential Price Movement Report as a broad indicator of property values in an area to assist comparisons between areas. QV recommends referring to the property value growth to verify change in property values over time, rather than the average sales price, as the average sales prices can be impacted by the types and categories of properties selling, or low volumes of property sales.

    9. When was the Residential Price Movement Report first released?

    The Residential Price Movement Report was first released for the period ending January 31 2005. The QV Quarterly House Price Index, which measures the movement of house values over time, is available back until 1989. QV is also able to produce statistics using its database going back to 1985 for most areas.

    10. Why does the Residential Price Movement Report provide an ‘estimate of property value’ only?

    Data in the Residential Price Movement Report provides estimates only of property value, and should not be considered ‘final’ statistics, as not all sales for the 3 month period will be included due to the time the data is released. This is because some sales within the 3 month period will not have been notified to the Territorial Authority in time for inclusion in the Residential Price Movement Report data. Notification of the sale to the Territorial Authority does not occur until after the sale has been settled and documents forwarded by the solicitor. This generally introduces a lag of 4 to 6 weeks before the Territorial Authority records the sale.

    QV produces final property statistics which are released after an extended period to incorporate a greater level of sales activity, resulting in a more statistically accurate output. Final property statistics, including the QV Quarterly House Price Index, can be purchased online at www.qv.co.nz.

    11. Why do some Territorial Authorities show ‘N/A’ (Not Available)?

    Territorial authorities may show ‘N/A’ if there is insufficient data available at the time of publication to produce statistically accurate outputs. This may occur when there has been very low sales activity in an area, or alternatively when QV has not been supplied sufficient residential sales volumes by a Territorial Authority for a particular period.

    12. Why does QV caution against using statistics with low volumes of sales?

    Statistics based on low sales volumes should be used with caution, as low volumes of sales are insufficient to create statistically accurate outputs. Any statistics calculated based on sales volumes of less than 50 sales appear in Italics in the Residential Price Movement Report data.

    13. How are the regions and city areas defined?

    Property Value Growth statistics are provided for each council area throughout New Zealand. Five main urban areas (Auckland, Hamilton, Wellington, Christchurch, and Dunedin) also have property value growth statistics available for areas within the cities. These city areas have been defined through consultation with QV Valuers that have local knowledge of each area.

    Property Value Growth Statistics are not provided for individual suburbs, as most suburbs have insufficient sales volumes to ensure statistically accurate property value growth calculations.

    14. Where does QV source the property data?

    QV maintains a national database on Property Information that it creates by sourcing updates of the District Valuation Roll from all NZ Territorial Local Authorities/councils
    News source:
    Statistics released today by QV indicate the residential property market is still on the rise, as residential property values grew by 14.7% for the 12 months to August, up from 14.3% annual growth to July.


    Regards
    Last edited by muppet; 12-09-2005, 10:18 PM.
    "There's one way to find out if a man is honest-ask him. If he says 'yes,' you know he is a crook." Groucho Marx
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